In a recent piece for The Motley Fool, Morgan Housel offers some interesting data on why trying to time the market is so dangerous. “There have been about 21,000 trading sessions between 1928 and today. During that time, the Dow went from 240 to 13,000, or an average annual growth rate of 5% (this doesn’t [...]
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History Indicates Market Hasn’t Peaked, Says Hulbert
April 18, 2012
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MarketWatch’s Mark Hulbert says that, if history is a guide, we’re not yet near the top of the stock market’s run. Citing a study from Ned Davis research, Hulbert says that historically sector performance has been a good indicator of market peaks. “The key is the average performance of the S&P 500’s sectors in the [...]
Read moreHulbert: Data Shows Correction Should Be Mild
April 11, 2012
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MarketWatch’s Mark Hulbert says he doesn’t think the market is headed for another 10%+ April correction. “Might the stock market be embarking on a 10% or more correction, just as it did in April of each of the last two years?” Hulbert asks in a new column. “I doubt it. The sentiment data suggest that [...]
Read moreWhat the VIX Is Telling Investors
January 10, 2012
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In his latest MarketWatch column, Mark Hulbert says a successful timing model is showing that stocks are approaching “buy” territory. Hulbert looks at an approach that moves to an all-cash position whenever the CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) rises above its median level of just shy of 20, and buys stocks when the VIX falls back [...]
Read moreFaber: Don’t Expect Too Much From Rally
November 28, 2011
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Marc Faber of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report says equities may rally in the short term, but he doesn’t think it will be a long-lasting bullish move. “The rally came from a very oversold level,” Faber tells FOX Business Network. “We have a very strong support on the S&P between 1100-1150. And usually the [...]
Read moreBiggs: “Rally Going to Continue for a While”
October 31, 2011
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Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs, who had been reducing equity exposure late in the summer months, has recently reversed course and has continued to up his exposure since the announcement of the new plan to stem Europe’s debt crisis. “This morning, all of the wise men of Europe and the economists are very negative about [...]
Read moreHulbert: Prescient Indicator Is Bullish
October 18, 2011
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Mark Hulbert says an indicator with an impeccable track record is now in bullish territory. The indicator: The High Low Logic Index, created by Norman Fosback in the 1970s, when he was president of the Institute for Econometric Research. “The index represents the lesser of two numbers: New 52-week highs and new 52-week lows with [...]
Read moreBogle: Market Is a “Giant Distraction” for Investors in the Short Term
September 30, 2011
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Vanguard founder Jack Bogle says the stock market is a “giant distraction to the business of investing”. Over the long run, he tells Fox Business Network, stock returns depend on how well Corporate America does; but in the short term, stocks have “inexplicable ups and downs” based on people’s opinions — not facts. He says [...]
Read moreDiscipline Crucial, Top Newsletter Editor Says
September 26, 2011
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The Cabot Market Letter is having another market-beating year, and its editor is preaching discipline amid the current market volatility. “Going forward, it’s important to remember to take your cues from the market itself, and not from the headlines that are sure to push the market up and down in the days ahead,” Michael Cintolo [...]
Read moreWien Still Optimistic
September 2, 2011
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Byron Wien says he thinks the stock market will be higher at year-end, and thinks the economy will improve — though not as much as he previously thought. Wien, the vice chairman of Blackstone Advisory Partners, tells CNBC that he thinks Europe will weather its debt crisis. He also says he doesn’t think a third round [...]
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