The Guru Investor

The Economic Cycle Research Institute is standing by its call for the U.S. to enter recession in the middle of this year. ECRI COO Lakshman Achuthan tells Bloomberg that recent data is confirming what the group has been saying for some time: that recession is coming. A decline in the rate of job growth supports [...]

Lakshman Achuthan of the Economic Cycle Research Institute says that, despite all the positive economic reports we’ve seen recently, several key indicators show the economy is actually on the decline and headed into recession. Achuthan says GDP numbers, personal income growth, sales data, and industrial production have all been on the decline and paint a [...]

The Economic Cycle Research Institute’s Lakshman Achuthan, whose group has a strong track record of forecasting economic cycles, continues to think we’ve been “tipping into a recession” since September. Achuthan tells CNBC that ECRI sees a “contagion among the forward-looking indicators” that the group looks at to forecast economic movements, though he declined to discuss [...]

Lakshman Achuthan of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, which has an exceptional track record of economic forecasting, says the economy is slowing in a cyclical fashion — not just because of short-term, anomalous issues like the Japanese earthquake and tsunami. Achuthan tells Bloomberg that he sees growth slowing in the second half of the year, [...]

Economic Cycle Research Institute Managing Director Lakshman Achuthan, whose group has an impressive track record of forecasting economic trends, says global industrial growth is headed for a slowdown. But he doesn’t think another recession is coming. “There’s a downturn in global industrial growth in clear sight,” Achuthan says, according to Investor’s Business Daily. “Commodity price [...]

Lakshman Achuthan, the managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, says a consumer revival is providing a big boost to the economy, and says the recovery is no longer “fragile”. Achuthan, whose group has a solid track record of predicting economic shifts, tells Bloomberg that the economy’s “immune system” is “quite robust” right now, [...]

Lakshman Achuthan, the managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, says recent economic data puts the “nail in the coffin” of the double-dip recession fears, and says he expects a “revival” of growth in the early spring of 2011. In an interview on Bloomberg TV, Achuthan also discusses the employment outlook and the disconnect [...]

Lackshman Achuthan, director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, says the threat of a double-dip recession is over. Achuthan, whose group has an excellent track record of forecasting economic cycles, tells CNBC that ECRI’s leading indicators are now definitively showing that a double-dip is off the table. He says the economy is likely headed for [...]

Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, says he thinks we’re in a “real recovery”, but that the high long-term unemployment rate is part of a structural problem that won’t be cured by the current recovery. Achuthan, whose group has a strong track record of forecasting business cycles, also tells Bloomberg that [...]