Charles Schwab’s Liz Ann Sonders says that the risk of a correction is elevated, but she thinks the bull market is still in tact.
For years, the US economy pushed ahead at a tepid pace, quantitative easing reigned, and US stocks lacked competition from other assets. But now that story is changing, says Charles Schwab’s Liz Ann Sonders.
Charles Schwab’s Liz Ann Sonders says she’s grown a good deal more cautious on stocks over the past few weeks.
Charles Schwab’s Liz Ann Sonders says she expects the bull market to roll on, but she wouldn’t be surprised to see some major speed bumps along the way.
Speaking at the Inside ETFs conference, Sonders said she wouldn’t be surprised if, within this bull market, we started to see financial crises rear their heads in areas like commodities and emerging markets, as was the case in the 1990s, Financial Advisor reports. She also said that “this might be the year Main Street feels better than Wall Street.”
Investment News reported, meanwhile, that Sonders said there “is a slightly elevated risk of a 10% correction this year”. But she doesn’t think the bull is done. “I have some short-term concerns, but I personally think the bull market we’re in now will be the best is our lifetime,” she said, noting that U.S. businesses “are sitting on a huge hoard of cash, which is at a level not seen since World War II” while inflation remains low. “The money is not multiplying and that has held inflation in check, but it has also kept economic growth low,” she said. “You don’t get an inflation problem when you have no velocity of money, but if we start to see velocity pick up, then I think we could start to change the thinking around future [Federal Reserve] policy.”
Sonders also says that valuations aren’t a concern yet, and that profit margins shouldn’t be a problem. “We know that profit margins are at or near all-time highs,” she said. “But unless you’re rolling over into a crash, it has not been historically a problem for the market coming off all-time highs in profit margins.”
Charles Schwab’s Liz Ann Sonders thinks the bull market that began in 2009 is in a “mature” phase, but not so mature that it will come to an end anytime soon.
While some measures of short-term sentiment have gotten quite bullish, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist Liz Ann Sonders says that long-term indicators show the stock market’s Wall of Worry remains firmly in tact.